Monday, February 20, 2017

Maywho?

Electoral Connection

The Ugly Sister

Advertising

Sanchez uses her campaign website, social media, and office travel budget to "disseminate [her] name among constituents in such a fashion to create a favorable image but in messages having little or no issue content" (Mayhew, 49).

Campaign Website
Website lets users donate to her campaign, learn about her background and issue stances, view videos featuring Sanchez, and have access to links to her social media accounts. Whether users view issue-related content or not, they will recognize Sanchez's name on a ballot. 





Fundraising 
In order to disseminate her name, she must first raise enough to fund campaign activities and advertisements. Billboards, pamphlets, TV ads, yard signs have little to no issue content, but they make sure that voters recognize her name on the ballot more so than the other names. These types of advertisements are purchased with campaign funds. 

Campaign funds (FEC):
CANDIDATE INFORMATION
SANCHEZ, LINDA
Office: HOUSE 
Party: DEMOCRATIC PARTYElection: 2016
State: CALIFORNIADistrict: 38

FINANCIAL SUMMARY
From: 01/01/2015   To: 12/31/2016

Itemized Individual Contributions$266,213
Unitemized Individual Contributions$57,302
Party Committees Contributions$263
Other Committees Contributions$1,153,276
Candidate Contributions$300
TOTAL CONTRIBUTIONS$1,477,356

Travel
Sanchez spent 3.5% ($18,179) in travel expenses in 2016, while only spending 2.5% ($23,736) on travel in 2015. It is clear she used a significant amount of her Office budget to meet with constituents and win their vote again in 2016.

Using Social Media to advertise

Credit Claiming

Sanchez utilizes press releases and sponsored legislation to "[act] so as to generate a belief in a relevant political actor (or actors) that [she] is personally responsible for causing government to do something that the actor (or actors) considers desirable" (Mayhew, 53).

Press release (2003): Sanchez Secures $300,00 for Whittier Library

  • Newly elected Congresswoman Linda Sánchez (CA -39th) immediately went to work for her constituents, and today announced that she has secured $300,000 for the Whittier Public Library. The funding is part of the FY 2003 Omnibus Appropriations Bill, H.J. Res. 2, that passed the U.S House of Representatives on February 13th by a vote of 338 to 83
  • Explicit credit claiming: "for her constituents"; creates belief that she was personally responsible for the passing of H.J. Res.; shows that she is efficient in getting stuff done for those back home in passing bill so quickly after taking office
  • Effective pork barrel legislation


  • Most legislation deals with schools/ young people; bills are important to constituents since district has low high school and university graduation rates
  • Example: "Rep. Linda Sánchez introduces legislation to put more counselors in schools with high dropout rates"
    • aimed at increasing graduation rate, making sure children aren't "left behind because his or her school does not have the funding necessary to afford enough school counselors"
  • Claims credit for merely introducing bills
    • Mayhew states that it doesn't matter if bill passes because it would be "the rest of Congress' fault," not their representative's

Position Taking

Sanchez uses roll call votes and calls attention to her speeches as a "public enunciation of a judgmental statement on anything likely to be of interest to political actors" (Mayhew, 61).

Roll Call Votes
Roll call votes below show Sanchez's voters that her positions are aligned with their preferences
Using Social Media to position take








Sunday, February 19, 2017

Electoral Circumstances

Elections 

(aka Doomsday)
2016 House Election
Source: New York Times

Past Election (2016)


Primary Election (2018)

Linda Sanchez
Based on the last three elections, incumbent Linda Sanchez is likely to win District 38 again in 2018. Considering the surge-and-decline theory, "the President in the previous election should produce greater losses [for the majority party] at the midterm." Because Sanchez is part of the current minority party, it is more likely she will win her seat in 2018 due to the midterm decline of the sitting President's party.

Prediction: safe

2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticLinda Sanchez Incumbent59.1%58,192
    RepublicanBenjamin Campos40.9%40,288

2012
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticLinda Sanchez Incumbent67.5%145,280
    RepublicanBenjamin Campos32.5%69,807

Democratic Party
Following the same surge-and-decline theory, it is more likely for Democrats to gain control of the House in 2018. The coattail effect shows that "Senate elections were highly correlated with the presidential one: Republicans didn’t win a competitive Senate seat in a state Trump lost, and didn’t lose one in a state he carried." In the absence of this coattail effect in 2018, Democrats are more likely to do well as the popularity of the President (and the President's party) falls and take control of the House.

General Election (2020)

Linda Sanchez
Sanchez has been in the House since 2003, showing that she has the strength of a career politician. In previous elections, Sanchez fared better when a Democrat was elected president or during midterms with a Republican president. Because she has endured one Democratic and two Republican presidencies, Sanchez is likely to win in 2020 despite the party in control of the Executive branch. 

Prediction: leaning

Campaign Finance Status

Linda Sanchez Campaign Contribution History
YearOfficeResultContributions
2014U.S. House (California, District 38)Won$1,350,030
2012U.S. House (California, District 38)Won$1,048,195
2010U.S. House (California, District 39)Won$723,863
2008U.S. House (California, District 39)Won$616,883
2006U.S. House (California, District 39)Won$643,970
2004U.S. House (California, District 39)Won$786,141
2002U.S. House (California, District 39)Won$1,076,307
Grand Total Raised$6,245,389


  • 2014: $17.65
  • 2012: $7.60

Major Issues

2014 Campaign Issues
  • Jobs and the Economy
Excerpt: "Ensuring that every American who wants to work can find a job is Linda’s #1 priority. That is why she has been a leader in advancing the “Make It in America” Agenda. The idea behind “Make It in America” is simple: America needs to be a place where we build make things again."
  • Supporting Small Business
Excerpt: "Linda knows that small businesses are the backbone of our economy and America’s job-creation engine. That is why she is working hard in Congress to provide critical financial support to small businesses in our neighborhoods, by enacting targeted tax cuts; improving the federal contracting and procurement systems; and increasing access to capital to help create new opportunities, grow existing businesses, and boost our economy."
  • Quality, Affordable Healthcare
Excerpt: "Linda proudly voted for the Affordable Care Act, which will strengthen Medicare; prevent insurance company abuses like cutting your benefits when you get sick or refusing to cover you if you have a “pre-existing condition”; and make health insurance more affordable for 30 million hardworking American families across the United States."
  • Ensuring a Clean Environment
Excerpt: "Linda knows that cleaner air and cleaner water will help our children grow up healthier. That is why she has championed efforts to reduce dirty trucks and pollution on the 110 710 Corridor and in the Ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles"
  • Make Our Schools Safer and More Effective
Excerpt: "Linda believes that every child deserves an A+ education: no child should have education opportunities reduced simply because of the neighborhood he or she lives in. That is why Linda has worked to reform No Child Left Behind. Rather than being a mere slogan, it should be a fully funded program that invests in our students so that they can meet the high expectations we have for them."

Tuesday, February 14, 2017

District Profile


California's 38th District

Santa Fe Springs, CA
California's 38th District is located in the southern portion of the state and includes part of Los Angeles and Orange counties.

Population: 714,100

Major Cities: 

*sorry about small text; Blogger won't let me make it bigger no matter how many times I try        ヽ(ಠ_ಠ)ノ
  • Gender: 
    • 50.9% Female, 49.1% Male
  • Ethnicity: 
    • 61.2% Hispanic
    • 18.9% White
    • 14.5% Asian
    • 3.6% Black
    • 1.8% Other
  • Unemployment: 
  • Median Household Income:
    •  $59,781 (higher than national median household income: $56,516)
  • High School Graduation Rate
    • 76.6% (lower than national high school graduation rate: 82%)
  • College Graduation Rate
    • 20.9% (lower than national college graduation rate: 39.8%) 
  • Healthcare: 11.6% of pop. employed in healthcare 
  • Manufacturing: 10.9%
  • Retail: 10.6%
  • Education: 9%
  • Professional: 7.8%
  • Fun Fact:
    • Cerritos (Spanish for little hill) was formerly known as Dairy Valley because of the preponderance of dairy farms in the area
Party Affiliation: 


Thursday, February 9, 2017

Member Profile

Linda Sánchez



Born: January 28, 1969 (age 48)

Education: University of California, Berkeley (BA) University of California, Los Angeles (JD)

Career: After law school, she worked as an attorney specializing in labor law at a private practice. In 1998, she joined the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) Local 441 as a compliance officer, as well as the National Electrical Contractors Association (NECA). She was also elected as the Executive Secretary-Treasurer for the Orange County Central Labor Council. She now serves with her sister Loretta, Congresswoman from the 47th District of California

Early Life: Linda Sanchez was born in Orange County, California. She grew up with six siblings, raised by Mexican immigrant parents in Anaheim, where she attended Valencia High School. She earned her BA in Spanish in 1991 at the University of California, Berkeley and her Juris Doctor degree in 1995 at the UCLA School of Law, where she was an editor of the Chicano-Latino Law Review.

Religion: Roman Catholic 

Party: liberal Democrat

Family: Rep. Loretta Sanchez (sibling), Jim Sullivan (husband) and Sanchez have three children

Tenure: 
U.S. House CA 39th District 2003 - 2013
U.S. House CA 38th District 2013 - present

Fun Facts:
  • Linda and her sister Loretta are the first sisters and the first women of any relation to ever serve in Congress.
  • Linda spoke at the Democratic National Convention and called Hillary Clinton a "badass", which is pretty badass

Committee/Subcommittee Assignments: 
  • 2017 - 2018: 
    • Committee on Ways and Means
  • 2015-2016: 
    • Ethics Committee, Ranking Member
    • Ways and Means Committee 
      • Subcommittee on Select Revenue Measures
    • Select Committee on the Events Surrounding the 2012 Terrorist Attack in Benghazi
  • 2013 - 2014: 
    • Ways and Means Committe
      • Subcommittee on Oversight
      • Subcommittee on Select Revenue Measures
    • Ethics Committee, Ranking Member
  • 2011 - 2012:
    • Ethics Committee, Ranking Member
    • Judiciary Committee
      • Subcommittee on Intellectual Property, Competition, and the Internet
    • Veteran's Affairs Committee

Sponsored Legislation:
  • H.R. 977: To amend the Elementary and Secondary Education Act of 1965 to create a demonstration project to fund additional secondary school counselors in troubled title I schools to reduce the dropout rate. (Feb 7, 2017)
  • H.Res. 108: Expressing support for designation of the week of February 6, 2017, through February 10, 2017, as "National School Counseling Week". (Feb 7, 2017)
  • H.R. 813: Affordability for Constant and Continual Education to Enhance Student Success Act (Feb 1, 2017)
  • H.R. 567: Relatives in Government Getting Employment Dishonorably Act (Jan 13, 2017)
  • H.R. 568: FAIR Act (Jan 13, 2017).


ADA and Interest Group Scores: 
  • ADA Hero: 100% score
  • Rated 77% by the NAPO, indicating a tough-on-crime stance. (Dec 2014)
  • Rated 100% by NARAL, indicating a pro-choice voting record. (Dec 2003)
  • Rated 100% by the HRC, indicating a pro-gay-rights stance. (Dec 2006)
  • Rated 100% by the NAACP, indicating a pro-affirmative-action stance. (Dec 2006)
  • Rated 100% by UFCW, indicating an anti-management/pro-labor record. (May 2012)
  • Rated 75% by NORML, indicating a pro-legalization stance. (Jan 2014)
  • Rated 100% by the NEA, indicating pro-public education votes. (Dec 2003)
  • Rated 100% by the CAF, indicating support for energy independence. (Dec 2006)
  • Rated 95% by the LCV, indicating pro-environment votes. (Dec 2003)
  • Rated 38% by the USAE, indicating support for trade sanctions. (Dec 2012)
  • Rated 100% by APHA, indicating a pro-public health record. (Dec 2003)
  • Rated 100% by SANE, indicating a pro-peace voting record. (Dec 2003)
  • Rated 0% by FAIR, indicating a voting record loosening immigration. (Dec 2003)
  • Rated 100% by the CTJ, indicating support of progressive taxation. (Dec 2006)
  • Based on OpenSecrets.org data, Sanchez is ranked as the 338th most wealthy representative in 2012 (net worth: $233,009)

Party Line Crossing:
  • Supports tax cuts for small businesses
  • That's about it lulz

Positions of Leadership: Vice Chair of the House Democratic Conference